Will You Have a White Christmas This Year?
Are you dreaming of a White Christmas? Find out where the snow will fall. As always, The Old Farmer’s Almanac looks ahead with our special Christmas Forecast 2025, featuring maps for both the U.S. and Canada.
Christmas! ‘Tis the season for kindling the fire of hospitality in the hall, the genial flame of charity in the heart. –Washington Irving, American writer (1783–1859)
White Christmas Weather Forecast 2025
Are you a lover of a classic snowy White Christmas? While we all know that nature can be unpredictable, the odds are that the snow will fall mainly in the Central region of the U.S. According to The 2026 Old Farmer’s Almanac, most of the United States will be seeing a milder, gentler winter than average.
Will There Be A White Christmas Where You Live?
According to The 2026 Old Farmer’s Almanac Christmas Forecast:
- Northeast: A White Christmas.
- Atlantic Corridor: Not a White Christmas.
- Appalachians: Chance of a White Christmas.
- Southeast: Not a White Christmas.
- Florida: Not a White Christmas.
- Lower Lakes: A White Christmas.
- Ohio Valley: Chance of a White Christmas in the east; Not a White Christmas in the west.
- Deep South: Not a White Christmas.
- Upper Midwest: Chance of a White Christmas.
- Heartland: Not a White Christmas.
- Texas–Oklahoma: Not a White Christmas.
- High Plains: Chance of a White Christmas.
- Intermountain: Chance of a White Christmas in the east; Not a White Christmas in the west.
- Desert Southwest: Not a White Christmas.
- Pacific Northwest: Not a White Christmas.
- Pacific Southwest: Not a White Christmas.
- Alaska: A White Christmas.
- Hawaii: Not a White Christmas.
Will There Be a White Christmas in Canada?
Our neighbors to the north are in luck for sleigh rides and snowball fights this holiday season!
Across Atlantic Canada, most areas are not expected to see a White Christmas this year. In contrast, southern Quebec and southern Ontario are both on track for a White Christmas. Moving west, the southern Prairies and southern British Columbia each have a chance of experiencing a White Christmas, depending on storm tracks and temperatures.
Farther north, the holiday will almost certainly be snowy. The Yukon is expecting a White Christmas, while the Northwest Territories will likely see a White Christmas in the south and a chance for one in the north. Nunavut also anticipates a White Christmas across the region.
Along the coast of northwestern British Columbia, conditions point to no White Christmas, but northern B.C. has a chance. The northern Prairies, northern Ontario, and northern Quebec are all strongly favored to enjoy a White Christmas as well.
Pick up a copy of the 2026 Almanac for detailed information about your region’s long-range forecasts. (This little yellow book is a great stocking stuffer, too!)
What Are the Odds of Having a White Christmas?
Not your year for snow? Take a look at the Weather History, and you’ll get a sense of where it’s typical to have a White Christmas. Using NOAA historical weather data (based on 30-year data sets), here are the odds. Any surprises?
Northeast and Great Lakes
- Northern Maine, Minnesota, North Dakota, Michigan, and Wisconsin can practically guarantee a blanket of snow on Christmas Day since snow begins falling earlier in the month and these northern areas have freezing temperatures to avoid snow melt. In Minneapolis, it’s an 80% chance. Over northern Michigan and especially the Upper Peninsula, as well as northern Minnesota, 3 out of every 4 years, on average, feature a White Christmas. Even greater odds exist over northern North Dakota.
- In the White Mountains of northern New Hampshire, the odds are 97%; northern Vermont has a 75% to 95% chance.
- In central and southern New England, there’s a 50-50 shot in a random year; Boston’s odds are only 20%.
- Around upstate New York and western New England, it’s just over a 50-50 shot. Cleveland’s odds are 1 in 3, and Chicago’s only 2 in 5 for Christmas Day.
Western U.S.
- Moving west towards Montana and Idaho, the odds of a White Christmas are quite good, but some areas are also dry—without the precipitation needed for snow. Missoula, Montana, has a very high 98% chance. Idaho City, near Boise, is also high, with a 94% chance. Salt Lake City has only 50-50 odds.
Colorado also varies greatly depending on the proximity of the mountains. East of Denver is only 40%, and Boulder is 47%, yet southwest of Boulder, it’s 77%! The same goes for the southern Rockies; elevation can make a difference; even Flagstaff, Arizona, has a 44% chance of snow.
Low Chances in the Rest of the Country
Don’t expect high odds in the Plains, Mid-Atlantic, the South, Texas–Oklahoma, Missouri, or western and central Tennessee. We’re talking very low chances (perhaps 20%). Washington, D.C., has only 6% odds.
So if you want a White Christmas or, conversely, want to escape snow on Christmas Day, consider the historical odds and The Old Farmer’s Almanac Christmas Forecast! Our only surprise is how low the odds are for most of the country.
See the 2025-2026 Winter Weather Outlook for this year’s predictions.
So, are you dreaming of a White Christmas? Let us know in the comments!
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You can always find the next 60 days of our weather predictions (which currently includes December 25) by inserting your zip code on the following page:
https://www.almanac.com/weather/longrange/zipcode
For Region 11, which includes Forney, Texas, we are predicting the following:
December 23-31: Rainy periods, some snow north; quite cold.
The northern part of Region 11, which extends into Oklahoma, is likely further north than Forney, though, so unfortunately we don't expect snow in your area for Christmas. But we wish you and yours a very happy holiday season--whatever the weather!
Thank you for your interest in The Old Farmer's Almanac!
You can always find the next 60 days of our weather predictions (which currently includes December 25) by inserting your zip code on the following page:
https://www.almanac.com/weather/longrange/zipcode
For Region 2, which includes all of New York City, we are predicting the following:
Dec 24-27: Rainy, warm.
Dec 28-31: Snow and rain; cold, then warm.
According to this prediction, it likely will not be snowing at Christmas in your area. But it might be possible that New York City might have some snow (perhaps mixed with rain) later in the week.
Wishing you and yours a happy holiday season!
You can always find the next 60 days of our weather predictions (which currently includes December 25) by inserting your zip code on the following page:
https://www.almanac.com/weather/longrange/zipcode
For Region 6, which include Delphi, Indiana, we are predicting the following:
Dec 17-25: Snowstorm, rainy periods; cold, then mild.
Dec 26-31: Lake snows east, sunny west; very cold.
So, according to this prediction, it could be that you might have snow on the ground a few days earlier than Christmas, but rain and mild temperatures closer to Christmas may tend to melt what is there, somewhat.
We wish you and yours a happy holiday season!
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